Keep the estimate separate from the evidence.
A model is only as useful as its assumptions and labels. Domain appraisals, token narratives, comparable transactions, and desired returns can be mistaken for market facts when they appear in the same spreadsheet. The articles below show ways to expose those differences.
A repeatable research habit
Start by defining the asset, unit of measurement, time horizon, and cost basis. Record which inputs are verified and which are hypothetical. Use alternative assumptions to test sensitivity, not to manufacture a precise price target. An asking price or an attractive benchmark does not demonstrate a realized economic outcome.
Suggested starting point
Select the article closest to the proposed asset. Recreate its hypothetical example with clearly labeled assumptions and compare how a different holding period or cost input changes the result.